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Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Everything that's wrong with the shareholder model of corporate money in one article
Posted by Jill | 7:59 PM
The latest about Apple stock:

Apple today reported revenue of $28.27B for the fourth quarter and $6.62B in net profit ($7.05 per diluted share). These numbers compare quite favorably to $20.34B and $4.31B ($4.64 per diluted share) for the same quarter last year.

Gross margins for Apple during Q4 were 40.3 percent.

During the quarter, Apple sold 17.07 million iPhones (21 percent growth year-over-year), 11.12 million iPads (166 percent growth), 4.89 million Mac computers (26 percent growth), and 6.62 million iPods (27 percent decline)

[snip]

Despite the good news coming out Cupertino today, investors weren't too terribly impressed. Analysts were expecting revenue of $29.69B and earnings per share of $7.39. They also expected quarterly iPhones sales to be in the 18 million to 20 million range.

Apple shares are down over $26 in after hours trading.


Wall Street analysts are like the Critical Parent of the Transactional Analysis model developed by Eric Berne in the 1950's: No matter how well you perform, they always want to know why you didn't do better.

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Monday, September 05, 2011

E.J. Dionne is shrill
Posted by Jill | 10:37 AM
E.J. Dionne is getting in touch with his inner Krugman today:
Imagine a Republican saying this: “Labor is prior to and independent of capital. Capital is only the fruit of labor, and could never have existed if labor had not first existed. Labor is the superior of capital, and deserves much the higher consideration.”

These heretical thoughts would inspire horror among our friends at Fox News or in the Tea Party. They’d likely label them as Marxist, socialist or Big Labor propaganda. Too bad for Abraham Lincoln, our first Republican president, who offered those words in his annual message to Congress in 1861. Will President Obama dare say anything like this in his jobs speech this week?

As for the unions, they are often treated in the media as advocates of arcane work rules, protectors of inefficient public employees and obstacles to the economic growth our bold entrepreneurs would let loose if only they were free from labor regulations.

So it would take a brave man to point out that unions “grew up from the struggle of the workers — workers in general but especially the industrial workers — to protect their just rights vis-a-vis the entrepreneurs and the owners of the means of production,” or to insist that “the experience of history teaches that organizations of this type are an indispensable element of social life.”

These heretical thoughts would inspire horror among our friends at Fox News or in the Tea Party. They’d likely label them as Marxist, socialist or Big Labor propaganda. Too bad for Abraham Lincoln, our first Republican president, who offered those words in his annual message to Congress in 1861. Will President Obama dare say anything like this in his jobs speech this week?

As for the unions, they are often treated in the media as advocates of arcane work rules, protectors of inefficient public employees and obstacles to the economic growth our bold entrepreneurs would let loose if only they were free from labor regulations.

So it would take a brave man to point out that unions “grew up from the struggle of the workers — workers in general but especially the industrial workers — to protect their just rights vis-a-vis the entrepreneurs and the owners of the means of production,” or to insist that “the experience of history teaches that organizations of this type are an indispensable element of social life.”

That’s what Pope John Paul II said (the italics are his) in the 1981 encyclical “Laborem Exercens.” Like Lincoln, John Paul repeatedly asserted “the priority of labor over capital.”

That the language of Lincoln and John Paul is so distant from our experience today is a sign of an enormous cultural shift. In scores of different ways, we paint investors as the heroes and workers as the sideshow. We tax the fruits of labor more vigorously than we tax the gains from capital — resistance to continuing the payroll tax cut is a case in point — and we hide workers away while lavishing attention on those who make their livings by moving money around.

More more more more more....

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Thursday, June 03, 2010

Today's post you must read
Posted by Jill | 5:59 AM
"Gaius Publius" has almost singlehandedly made Americablog readable again. It's fortunate, because I for one got rather sick of Chris Ryan's relentless "blame the Boomers" rants. I mean, Ryan has a really nice life in Paris, something of which he reminds us all the time, so I have no idea where his bitterness comes from. But this new guy (or gal, as the case may be), ought to be required reading for every teabagger who gets his or her opinions from Fox News.

Today "Gaius" writes about the relationship between state and capitalism -- and makes the case why what we have right now is dangerously close to "The F Word".

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Friday, August 21, 2009

This is America's future
Posted by Jill | 5:46 AM
There's a certain smugness about this article in today's New York Times about how Monday's breach of the Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectric dam in Siberia is indicative of a larger general failure of Soviet-era infrastructure. The implication is that this kind of thing simply couldn't happen here because of good old American capitalism and private ownership. Under the surface of its ostensible subject, there's standard conservative boilerplate over evils of government-run anything:
Sayano-Shushenskaya and similar dams built by the Soviet Union’s command economy provided copious, cheap hydropower, and many businesses benefited. Rusal, the world’s largest aluminum company with many smelters in Siberia, took advantage of bountiful supply and cheap prices as it ramped up operations over the last decade.

Rusal consumed about 70 percent of the Sayano-Shushenskaya dam’s output. Rusal’s owner, the oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska, once claimed that the Russian aluminum industry would outgrow America’s because cheap Siberian electricity provided an unbeatable advantage.

In fact, all of Russia’s economy grew on roads, pipelines, electrical transmission towers and other infrastructure built by the Soviets, but idled during the deep post-Soviet recession. This helped facilitate rapid economic growth.

But metal fatigues and snaps, gear teeth chip, grind and stick, oil pipes burst and leak, roads and bridges crack and buckle, and agricultural machinery fails during harvest.

A dearth of capital investment from the late 1980s until around 2005 left Russia with badly decrepit infrastructure. The nadir was probably in 2004, when the state statistics agency calculated that Russian capital equipment was, on average, 21.5 years old — compared with about 10 years in most Western economies, said Yaroslav D. Lissovolik, the chief economist at Deutsche Bank in Moscow.

“To re-equip Russia’s industrial base will take decades, not just two or three years,” Mr. Lissovolik said. “This is a long-term challenge.”

It has been a long-term challenge for a while. Long anticipated, the breakdown of Soviet infrastructure began in earnest this decade.

Think now about the power plants near where you live. Or the dams. Or the roads on which you drive. I know that here in New Jersey, the point on Route 46 West near where it merges with Route 3 was until recently only drivable at about 45mph because of the scattershot potholes that pocked this section of the roads. I've driven on bridges where the pavement was so shot that you could see the webbing underneath.

Who can forget this:



That's the 2007 collapse of Minnesota's I-35W Bridge in 2007. Warnings of the bridge's structural deficiency had been made since 1990. And that's just one example of our own crumbling infrastructure right here in the US as tax cuts and unnecessary wars have taken priority over maintenance:
More than one in four of America's nearly 600,000 bridges need significant repairs or are burdened with more traffic than they were designed to carry, according to the U.S. Department of Transportation.

A third of the country's major roadways are in substandard condition -- a significant factor in a third of the more than 43,000 traffic fatalities each year, according to the Federal Highway Administration. Traffic jams waste 4 billion hours of commuters' time and nearly 3 billion gallons of gasoline a year, the Texas Transportation Institute calculates.

Dams, too, are at risk. The number of dams that could fail has grown 134% since 1999 to 3,346, and more than 1,300 of those are "high-hazard," meaning their collapse would threaten lives, the Association of State Dam Safety Officials (ASDSO) found. More than a third of dam failures or near failures since 1874 have happened in the last decade.

Underground, aging and inadequate sewer systems spill an estimated 1.26 trillion gallons of untreated sewage every year, resulting in an estimated $50.6 billion in cleanup costs, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

"Much of America is held together by Scotch tape, bailing wire and prayers," said Donald F. Kettl, director of the Fels Institute of Government at the University of Pennsylvania.

Fixing these problems and others threatening the nation's critical infrastructure would cost $1.6 trillion -- more than half of the annual federal budget, the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) estimates. And that doesn't include what it will cost for new capacity to serve a growing population.

Recognizing the importance of structures so integral to U.S. commerce and Americans' well-being and safety, local, state and federal governments already are budgeting nearly two-thirds of the $1.6 trillion needed for infrastructure work. The problem is they raid many of those funds for other purposes, ASCE says.

Coming up with new money to fill the funding gap has become a political nightmare, with politicians and the public trying to avoid anything that looks like a higher tax.

"We have convinced ourselves that infrastructure is free, that someone else should be paying or that we have paid our share," said Mike Pagano, an urban planning expert at the University of Illinois at Chicago.

Cash-strapped local governments are resorting to things like selling naming rights to subway stations to raise cash -- but naming rights don't actually sell these infrastructures to the companies that purchase these rights. How many corporations, focuses on maximizing profits, are going to want to buy roads and bridges and other necessary parts of the American economy unless they can make a sizable profit from them?

I think about the outcry every time the tolls go up on the roads around here. Imagine paying, say, $5.00 at every tollbooth on the Toyota Garden State Parkway, or $20.00 each way to cross the Washington Mutual Bridge in upper Manhattan or the Lincoln Federal Savings Tunnel in midtown. Does anyone actually think that corporations are going to maintain our infrastructure any better than governments do? Take a look at the IT infrastructure of any corporation and at how they view the employees who maintain it. Do you know any network administrator whose employer doesn't think of him or her as just a cost center with no revenue benefit to the company? If you work for a company with an outsourced help desk, sent to another country to minimize costs, when was the last time you actually had a problem solved?

Some things are just not profitable and the only way to make them profitable is to render them off-limits to a vast majority of the population. The problem with infrastructure is not that government can't handle it. The part of Route 46 I mentioned earlier has now been paved and the merge has actually been improved to provide more road length for traffic combining from two center lanes to one. The problem is, as quoted above, that Americans think that roads and schools and bridges and dams and railroad tracks are "free" the way they think the drinks and meals at an all-inclusive resort are "free", not realizing that the cost of these things is contained in the price they pay for the room.

Too many people think that taxes = welfare. Ronald Reagan's "welfare queen" (who turned out to be a wealthy woman embezzling the government) is still very real in the public imagination. Ronald Reagan convinced Americans that taxes only pay for stipends to the undeserving, and that infrastructure is some magic thing built by pixies and is magically self-healing.

Look at the photos of the Sayano-Shushenskaya dam if you like. But they are less an indictment of the former Soviet system than they are a glimpse of America's future if we don't get our heads out of our asses soon.

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Friday, April 10, 2009

What if they cried "OMG!! SOCIALISM!!!!" -- and nobody cared?
Posted by Jill | 6:05 AM
It appears that the collective shrug that a majority of the American people have done in response to the right's relentless invocation of the Scary Boogeyman word "socialism" is about more than just that they like Barack Obama:
Only 53% of American adults believe capitalism is better than socialism.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 20% disagree and say socialism is better. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure which is better.

Adults under 30 are essentially evenly divided: 37% prefer capitalism, 33% socialism, and 30% are undecided. Thirty-somethings are a bit more supportive of the free-enterprise approach with 49% for capitalism and 26% for socialism. Adults over 40 strongly favor capitalism, and just 13% of those older Americans believe socialism is better.


Some of the preference for socialism among the young may be simply attributable to age. As my generation knows full well, it's easy to be a socialist when your parents are paying at least some of the bills. But I think there's more to it than just a facile question of generations.

Over nearly three decades, as Reagan Republicanism has largely ruled this country (yes, even during the eight Clinton years), Americans have seen what unfettered, so-called free market capitalism looks like. Until the October 1987 crash, even the post-baby-boomers were supportive of the Doctrine of I Want More. But the financial collapse of 2008 represents the natural outgrowth of deregulated capitalism -- and Americans don't like what they see. The question is whether this translates into support for if not an outright socialist economy, certainly a more egalitarian one with a better safety net than we have now. Young Americans aren't carrying the baggage of the Cold War with them. These are people who grew up in post-Berlin Wall, for whom the boogeyman of Communism evokes no Pavlovian fear response. And if you are just getting started in your life and careers, and you see the wreckage that deregulated capitalism has left in its wake, and you're interacting with people all over the world via Facebook and online games, and seeing how people in Europe have health care even if they can't find a job, you're damn right you're going to think socialism is better.

The Republicans ignore this at their peril. They're still out there invoking the word "socialism" as if it were still 1965, not realizing that the people for whom this is a hot-button are fewer in number every day.

(h/t)

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