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Saturday, February 18, 2012

The GOP establishment may nominate their dream candidate after all
Posted by Jill | 5:30 PM
Let's not kid ourselves that the GOP nominee will be the To Know Him Is To Like Him Less Mitt Romney, the insane Rick Santorum, or the evil Newt Gingrich. The Money Wing of the Republican Party is many things, but stupid isn't one of them.

It will not surprise me one bit if this is how it pans out:
A prominent Republican senator just told me that if Romney can’t win in Michigan, the Republican Party needs to go back to the drawing board and convince somebody new to get into the race.

“If Romney cannot win Michigan, we need a new candidate,” said the senator, who has not endorsed anyone and requested anonymity.

The senator believes Romney will ultimately win in Michigan but says he will publicly call for the party to find a new candidate if he does not.

[snip]

It would have to be somebody else, the senator said. Who?

“Jeb Bush,” the former Florida governor.

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Friday, July 23, 2010

One of the benefits of a dumbed-down population
Posted by Jill | 5:48 AM
Perhaps they'll even be willing to forget what a God-awful president George W. Bush was. Now of course this means our trolls (and you know who you are) will chime in saying "But your guy sucks too" -- and yes, he does. But my beef with Obama is his POLITICAL ineptitude and his willingness to sell out to the worst Republican ideas before even sitting down at the negotiating table. George W. Bush was simply venal, cruel, and a liar. But Republicans live in a black-or-white universe (in more ways than one) and so if the present sucks, it means George W. Bush must have been great, as Paul Krugman points out today:
There’s now a concerted effort under way to rehabilitate Mr. Bush’s image on at least three fronts: the economy, the deficit and the war.

On the economy: Last week Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, declared that “there’s no evidence whatsoever that the Bush tax cuts actually diminished revenue. They increased revenue, because of the vibrancy of these tax cuts in the economy.” So now the word is that the Bush-era economy was characterized by “vibrancy.”

I guess it depends on the meaning of the word “vibrant.” The actual record of the Bush years was (i) two and half years of declining employment, followed by (ii) four and a half years of modest job growth, at a pace significantly below the eight-year average under Bill Clinton, followed by (iii) a year of economic catastrophe. In 2007, at the height of the “Bush boom,” such as it was, median household income, adjusted for inflation, was still lower than it had been in 2000.

But the Bush apologists hope that you won’t remember all that. And they also have a theory, which I’ve been hearing more and more — namely, that President Obama, though not yet in office or even elected, caused the 2008 slump. You see, people were worried in advance about his future policies, and that’s what caused the economy to tank. Seriously.

On the deficit: Republicans are now claiming that the Bush administration was actually a paragon of fiscal responsibility, and that the deficit is Mr. Obama’s fault. “The last year of the Bush administration,” said Mr. McConnell recently, “the deficit as a percentage of gross domestic product was 3.2 percent, well within the range of what most economists think is manageable. A year and a half later, it’s almost 10 percent.”

But that 3.2 percent figure, it turns out, is for fiscal 2008 — which wasn’t the last year of the Bush administration, because it ended in September of 2008. In other words, it ended just as the failure of Lehman Brothers — on Mr. Bush’s watch — was triggering a broad financial and economic collapse. This collapse caused the deficit to soar: By the first quarter of 2009 — with only a trickle of stimulus funds flowing — federal borrowing had already reached almost 9 percent of G.D.P. To some of us, this says that the economic crisis that began under Mr. Bush is responsible for the great bulk of our current deficit. But the Republican Party is having none of it.

Finally, on the war: For most Americans, the whole debate about the war is old if painful news — but not for those obsessed with refurbishing the Bush image. Karl Rove now claims that his biggest mistake was letting Democrats get away with the “shameful” claim that the Bush administration hyped the case for invading Iraq. Let the whitewashing begin!

I've been saying for almost a year that they're going to run Jeb in 2012. It's starting to look like I'm right.

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Thursday, February 04, 2010

I told you so
Posted by Jill | 4:53 AM
Me, August 9, 2009:
Here's what capitulation to the Republicans will get us: President Jeb Bush.


Me, Mary 4, 2009:
Don't kid yourself that this "National Council for a New America" is about rethinking, or even rebranding, the Republican Party. This is the greed wing, the Grover Norquist wing, of the Republican Party making a pre-emptive strike against Evita Mooselini, Bobby the Exorcist Jingles, and the rest of the Christofascist Zombie Brigade that hijacked John McCain last year and now threatens to hijack the rest of the party in the upcoming midterm elections and into 2012. And while Mitt Romney has a prominent role, the savior for the interests of the wealthy that is making the Greedmeisters get all tingly in the groin is Jeb Bush.


Me, December 27, 2008:
I've been saying since 1988 that the Bush family regards this entire country as a private fiefdom that's theirs to plunder as they wish for their family and friends. We've seen over the last eight years that it isn't just the country they see as their fiefdom, it's the entire world. Did anyone really think they would go away quietly? Greedy people don't take kindly to having land they think is theirs taken away from them, certainly not by black people they no doubt think ought to be their domestic servants.

And so they, with the help of the Greed Wing of the Republican Party, which has been seeking a candidate to represent their interests in 2012 to go up against the Christofascist Zombie Brigade's Chosen One, Sarah Palin, are already positioning the Bush Family Restoration to the Throne of the United States



Associated Press, today
:
When Jeb Bush left office four years ago, his public appearances were as scarce as bi-partisan man hugs.

He didn't want to upstage his successor in the governor's mansion nor his brother in the White House. Instead, he quietly cashed in by joining corporate boards and an elite speakers bureau, penned policy essays and gave infrequent interviews to conservative media.

But in recent months, as the Republican Party of Florida has grappled with a leadership vacuum, Bush's political profile has grown as fast as the national deficit.

He headlined a fundraiser for Bill McCollum's gubernatorial campaign, starred in a YouTube video touting Jeff Atwater's campaign for state chief financial officer and helped install state Sen. John Thrasher as the state party's heir apparent -- all the while looming on the sidelines of the fierce Republican Senate primary between Gov. Charlie Crist and Marco Rubio.

The capper came Thursday when, at the top of the 7 o'clock hour, right after Vice President Joe Biden, Bush made a rare network television appearance on NBC's Today Show. The intensely private Bush's interview with the overly familiar Matt Lauer rattled Florida political circles.

Was this the beginning of a Jeb juggernaut that would culminate in a 2012 presidential bid?

``My wife called me immediately and said he looked presidential,'' said Thrasher, who as the former House speaker helped Bush lay down his agenda. ``I said, `Who knows? We'll see.' I'm ready to go to Iowa any time he's ready.''


What did you THINK those "slips" by Republican operatives on television talking about "No terrorist attacks under Bush" and "Obama created this deficit" are all about? They're about recognizing a stupid and inattentive American population that can be whipped into such a frenzy of hate by their economic conditions -- conditions ACTUALLY AND FACTUALLY created by the economic policies of George W. Bush, and forgetting that those eight years ever happened. I've been saying throughout this last year that before this is all over, a plurality of Americans will believe that the last three presidents were Reagan, Clinton, and Obama.

Sarah Palin has the hearts of the teabaggers, but there is yet to emerge a credible candidate on the Republican side. Scott Brown is the flavor-of-the-month of the crushy media, but the money guys on the Republican side want their sure thing, and the Bush family wants -- and feels it deserves -- its restoration. As Grover Norquist clone hopefuls like Mark Sanford and John Ensign sacrifice their presidential ambitions on the altar of their own penii, and Tim Pawlenty and John Thune have all the charisma of telephone poles, the money Republicans are still looking for Their Guy. In Jeb Bush, they have felt ever since the administration of Saint Jebbie's wastrel brother ended, they have their guy. And now it looks like I was probably not wrong. What they WON'T mention, and hope that people won't use Teh Google to find, is this:
A government money market debacle unfolding in Florida is raising questions about former governor and presidential brother Jeb Bush's possible involvement in the mess.

Florida froze withdrawals from a state investment fund earlier this week when local governments withdrew billions of dollars out of concern for the fund's financial stability.

In the past few days, municipalities have withdrawn roughly $9 billion, nearly a third of the $28 billion fund (which is similar to a money market fund) controlled by the Florida's State Board of Administration (SBA). The run on the fund was triggered by worries that a percentage of the portfolio contained debt that had defaulted.

A majority of this paper was sold to SBA by Lehman Brothers. Bush, as the state's top elected official, served on a three-member board that oversaw the SBA until he retired as governor in January. In August, Bush was hired as a consultant to the bank. Lehman spokesperson Kerrie Cohen, speaking on behalf of Bush, said they had no comment and would not say when the bank had sold Florida the paper. SBA did not return calls.

But watch -- Jeb Bush will be painted as the Only One Who Can Save Our Economy.

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Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Are we really down to just a few political dynasties -- and that's it?
Posted by Jill | 4:35 AM
I used to work with a guy who told me that he'd had a frat house roommate in college who would lock himself alone in his room every time there was a party at the house. You see, he wanted a career in politics and he wanted to make sure that he wasn't exposed to anything that could come back and bite him later on as he sought higher office.

Perhaps there are fewer people who want to hold office these days than they used to, for various reasons. For some people it's having less time. I can certainly understand that; I'm sitting here at 4:30 AM because I have a 7 AM conference call and have to be out of the house by 6:15. For others, running for even local office is daunting for a variety of reasons. My reason is fear.

I live in a town that has been run by Republican thugs for nearly three decades. Even the highly corrupt Democratic Party organization doesn't field candidates in my town. When there's an opening on the council, someone on the council names a successor, usually one of his cronies, to run in the next unopposed election. I would love to run for council here in this town in which they spend money like drunken sailors, usually on sports fields and other things that benefit youth sports and nothing else. Now they want to renovate a municipal building that was just renovated 10 years ago. Maybe a contractor friend of someone on the council is down on his luck.

Last year I ran for Democratic County Committee. I didn't campaign much; I didn't have time. And I still got 10 votes out of only 37 cast. If I'd put forth some effort, I might even have won. I would love to run for council. I think I could win, too. People in this town don't complain about those who run it because what's the point, when the current council members run unopposed year after year. But I don't dare. I don't dare because I'm afraid. If I dare to buck these guys, there are many ways I can be harassed. All the cops in town know someone; that's how you get a job as a cop in my town. If I drive 36mph in a 35 mile zone, I could be ticketed. There is now a "code enforcement" official in town whose job it is to "enforce codes" about things like how you keep up your property, and whether you got a permit for work on your house. In my town, you need to get a permit even if your old water heater is spewing water all over your basement floor. So as much as I'd like to help clean things up and help keep property taxes from skyrocketing, I really don't need the hassle.

Perhaps this is an example of why we seen to be in an age of dynastic politics. The Clintons. The Bushes. The Kennedys. The Cuomos. When I first heard that Caroline Kennedy was interested in Hillary Clinton's Senate seat, I too had a little frisson of Camelotian inevitability, as if it were the natural order of things. Then I got to thinking: Why? Why on earth should someone who has paid absolutely no dues in politics whatsoever until this year be able to just jump into the Senate after being largely out of public life?

I've always respected Caroline Kennedy for this, actually. It can't have been easy to quietly go about your business, doing some philanthropy and raising your kids when you are the Last Heir to Camelot. It was clear when he died that John Jr. was headed for a political career; someone with that pedigree and that face couldn't NOT go into politics. But even after her brother's death, Caroline ignored the siren song of politics, until now.

Perhaps she really has been waiting for someone who inspires her the way her father inspired people. Usually girls with highly charismatic fathers are like this about finding someone to marry, not about a reason to go into politics. But perhaps this really is about wanting to work with Barack Obama. Still, there's something even more bothersome about Caroline Kennedy suddenly coming out of the woodwork demanding a Senate appointment than there was about Hillary Clinton's Senate run. For one thing, Clinton actually obtained her seat by being elected. If New Yorkers didn't want her, they didn't have to vote for her. For another, you can't say that Hillary had no political background, even if this was her first elected office. But Caroline Kennedy would waltz into a vacant Senate seat for two years before having to run again. Is this really how we want politics to work -- dominated by a few political families? To grease the path of a Kennedy now means that someone will grease the path of a Bush two, four, six, or eight years from now. Or even this year, if Jeb Bush takes over the vacant Senate seat in Florida. And then there's George P. Bush, and the many other scions of the most horrible political family in history. But is this really all we have in this country?

My earliest memories are of the Kennedy years. Jackie Kennedy may have fostered the whole Camelot thing, but it's always seemed to me that what this country has really wanted was not a President but a king. This is one reason so many Americans believe that a president should be able to do whatever he wants -- as long as he's a Republican. But we love our trappings of royalty, especially when we can wrap them up in a veneer of regular-guyness. The Reagans understood this, juxtaposing glamorous state dinners with photo-ops of Reagan on his fake California ranch. When the Clintons came to town, it was as if the peasants had taken over the castle -- and Sally Quinn was appropriately outraged, as if she feared the Clintons might install an outhouse with a moon cutout in the door on the White House lawn. The Washington party circuit was relieved when the Texas Plantagenets came back into power, because it was a return to an ordered universe, not realizing that the Clintons were now an aspiring dynasty of their own. And they have absolutely no idea what to make of the Obamas, who not only came out of nowhere but are unseemly of pigmentation for an American royal family.

But here in New York, all we're hearing about for this Senate seat is people named Kennedy and Cuomo and even Bill Clinton was mentioned for a while. Is there really no one else in all of New York Democratic politics who is worthy of this seat?

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