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Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Super Tuesday Live-blogging

Obama takes Georgia with 63% of the vote to Clinton’s 34%. Huckabee edged out McCain 35-32%, with Romney third at 29%. Both Democratic and Republican results are based on exit polling after roughly 80% of the precincts have reported.

In Oklahoma with 90% of the precincts reporting, Clinton won with 55% of the vote compared to Obama’s 30%. On the GOP side, McCain won with 38% of the vote, with Huckabee trailing at 33%, with Romney, once again, finishing a distant third with 24%.

In 76% of the results in in Tennessee, Clinton once again won big with 59% of the vote, with Obama finishing a bad second with 35%. Huckabee is edging out Sen. McCain 34-32%, with Romney once again bringing up the rear of the Big Three with 23%.

In my home state of Massachusetts, Hillary won with 56% of the vote with Obama finishing a respectable second with 41% with 71% of precincts reporting. Former Governor Romney, as expected, won the Republican vote with a 51%-41% margin over McCain mainly on the strength of his saddling us with a hostile and useless health care plan and owning a mansion in Belmont.

With 76% of precincts reporting, Obama is in a dogfight in Connecticut with Hillary Clinton 50% to 47%. Buoyed with Lieberman’s support, McCain is beating Romney big time with 52% compared to Romney’s 33%.

Alabama has gone for Obama with the support of 56% of Democratic voters while Hillary trails with 41%. Mike Huckabee also has 41% but still leads McCain, who has 38%, with Romney showing with a dismal 17%.

Perhaps riding on the tristate coattails, Hillary Clinton is winning in New Jersey by an estimated 10% differential, leading Obama 54-44%. McCain has doubled his lead over Romney, winning 56% to 28%, with Huckabee third with just over half the polls reporting.

As expected, even though neither Democrat had campaigned there, Barack Obama came up big, beating Hillary Clinton on her own home turf of Illinois 65-33% with 64% of polls responding. Obviously, Senator Obama is relying largely but not exclusively on the African American vote, with 98% of black voters 45-59 and 93% of black voters aged 30-44 going for Obama. However, what’s interesting is that Obama also enjoys overwhelming support among white voters of all ages as well as Hispanic voters (59%), showing that he can generate mass appeal across racial and age demographics. Obama also got 70% of the exit polled female vote. McCain is handily defeating Mitt Romney 48-28% with 65% of the polls reporting.

In Missouri, Clinton hangs on to a 53-44% margin over Obama while Huckabee is edging out McCain 35-32%, with Romney, as usual, bringing up the rear at 27%. 65% of the polls have reported.

Little Delaware with its three electoral votes is also going for Obama, who leads Clinton 53-43%, while McCain leads Romney 45-33%.

“Oh, Hillary used to live here for a few years and sat on Wal-Mart’s board at Bentonville for six years helping to bust our unions. I suppose we ought to vote for her.” Arkansas Democratic voters gave Hillary a whopping 72% of the vote, her biggest win, while Obama got a miserable quarter of the vote. Hardly more surprisingly, former governor Huckabee grabbed 61% of the vote while McCain could only eke out 20% with Romney (you guessed it), bringing up the rear yet again with 13%.

As you can expect, John McCain fared much better in his home state of Arizona, getting 49% of the Republican vote with Romney getting 13%. Huckabee is getting no western hospitality with a mere 9%. Clinton is projected to win 51% to Obama’s 39% but only a third of the polls have closed.

65-34% is Obama’s margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in Colorado but only 21% of the polls have reported. With only 5% in, Mitt Romney’s beating McCain 46-27%, so that could change as the night wears on.

What is up with Kansas? Well, its Democratic caucus is showing a lot of love for Obama, giving him 73% of the Democratic vote while giving Hillary only 27%. The Republican caucus won’t be until February 9th.

Sucking up to the memory of Paul Wellstone last year to Minnesota dairy farmers didn’t help Hillary because she trails Obama big time 34-65%, with 47% of the polls reporting in. On the Republican side, Romney’s winning with 40%, while McCain and Huckabee are tied in a dead heat for second with about 22% each. Ron Paul made a surprisingly strong showing with 16% of the vote.

None of New Mexico’s polls have closed. The GOP primary is June 3rd.

The surprise isn’t that NY Senator Hillary Clinton is winning in her latest home state of New York: It’s that she’s only beating Obama 57-40%. McCain creamed Romney 51-28% with almost all precincts reporting.

With almost half of Idaho’s polls reporting, Barack Obama won big over Clinton 72-24% in their caucus. The Idaho GOP primary will be on May 27th.

Likewise, Obama’s winning big in another Big White North state, leading Clinton in North Dakota’s caucus by a 61-37% difference. Romney is projected to win on the Republican side with 36%, with McCain a distant second at 23%, with Ron Paul, as in Minnesota, also running a strong third at 21% and Huckabee bringing up the rear at 20%. All polls have closed.

In Utah, Clinton’s in a dogfight with Obama, leading 46%-40% with only 6% reporting. And, surprise, surprise, look who’s leading on the Republican side with 86% of the vote. Never would’ve guessed it.

California’s polls have just closed less than a half hour ago but so far Hillary Clinton’s pulled out to an early 57-33% lead over Obama but with 99% of the polls not reporting that could change in a big hurry, especially with heavily black urban areas not weighing in. McCain’s so far has a 48-23% lead over Romney with Huckabee trailing with 11%.

Alaska’s polls have yet to close for their caucus.

Bottom line: McCain is kicking Romney’s ass around and it could be said that Huckabee’s having an even better night than the vinyl game show host.

It’s a nationwide dogfight between Hillary and Obama with the edge going to Hillary. But, while McCain’s looking more like the Republican anointed one, things are far from being settled with the Democratic side. In a way, Hillary is doing exactly as Democratic strategists feared: Splitting the party, which ain’t exactly a bad thing. Yet I see Hillary bringing out the Democratic Obama vote moreso than the Republican vote.

The refrain that I keep seeing is that Obama, as per expectations, has extremely strong support among the youngest voters but has the least among older white voters, especially in the south. Hillary and McCain, as one can also expect, is getting the Geritol vote and it may very come out to who gets the most Independent voters.

Massachusetts for instance, which enjoys the reputation of being the bluest of the blue states, has only 37% registered Democrats, 13% Republicans but 50% Independents among our nearly 4,000,000 voters.
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6 Comments:
Blogger Unknown said...
Hot picture.

Blogger Bob said...
The demographics of Obama & Clinton voters everywhere in the South are are of small significance except in Florida, which officially had no Dem primary. Winning Missouri & Ohio in November - that's a challenge.

Blogger PridePress said...
That may be true, but if McCain wins the nod, then I think those relative small numbers may be enough to give the dems an edge. If the Jebesus voters hate McCain, and he's the only option, then perhaps they will simply stay home.

One can hope.

Blogger PridePress said...
That may be true, but if McCain wins the nod, then I think those relative small numbers may be enough to give the dems an edge. If the Jebesus voters hate McCain, and he's the only option, then perhaps they will simply stay home.

One can hope.

Blogger PridePress said...
That may be true, but if McCain wins the nod, then I think those relative small numbers may be enough to give the dems an edge. If the Jebesus voters hate McCain, and he's the only option, then perhaps they will simply stay home.

One can hope.

Blogger pjs said...
"...beating Hillary Clinton on her own home turf of Illinois "

That's an excellent spin job. I love it.