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Monday, February 28, 2011

Monday Big Blue Smurf Blogging: What They Said
Posted by Jill | 8:03 PM
Today's honoree: John Cole, who never links to me, but who does point out what it means when the government gets out of the pension business and delivers a bunch of easy marks to the very same banksters who killed the American economy.

Money quote:
What I find most amazing about all of this is that while these changes are being made, no one seems concerned about the regulatory side of the equation. You would think that if governments are pushing potentially millions of people into the market, there would be some concern about the recent multiple financial crashes brought on by the perfidy of our Galtian overlords in the market. It’s really quite a good scheme if you are one of the Wall Street grifters- someone is sending you marks, and promising to look the other way. You don’t exactly have to be Nostra-fucking-damus to realize that in about a decade, a couple million Americans of retirement age are going to be wiped out by the same class of greedy pricks that just vaporized the economy a few years ago.

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Friday, February 05, 2010

And the Great Timing Award goes to...
Posted by Jill | 5:53 AM
..Republican Rep. Paul Ryan, who earlier this week, in his redundantly named "Roadmap Plan" revived George Bush's brilliant idea of privatizing Social Security:
This proposal addresses the shortcomings of the current system and strengthens the retirement safety net by providing workers with the voluntary option of investing a portion of their FICA payroll taxes into personal savings accounts. Due to the higher rate of return received by investments in secure funds consisting of equities and bonds, these accounts would allow workers to build a significant nest egg for retirement that far exceeds what the current program can provide. Each account will be the property of the individual, and fully inheritable, which will allow workers to pass on any remaining balances in their accounts to their descendants.

Yesterday the Dow-Jones Industrial Average closed down 268.37 points. Much of the gains of recent months have been wiped out.

And this isn't a one-day blip, either. The world economy is once again teetering. Latvia has 23% unemployment. Greece may need a bailout.. Portugal has debt concerns. Spain is in hock up to its eyeballs too.

So of course, with markets reeling all over the world, it's a perfect time to tell Americans that they should trust their retirement to these markets.

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Monday, May 25, 2009

Why stop here? Why not just line us all up when we turn 62 and shoot us?
Posted by Jill | 7:24 AM
Or better yet, take a tip from the Nazis and build gas chambers. Then round up anyone born between 1946 and, say, 1960 (because after all, we don't want to have to deal with pesky things like Keith Olbermann being born in 1959, or President Obama being born in 1961, or Jon Stewart being born in 1961, or Stephen Colbert being born in 1964 -- the "official" end of the baby boom.

Perhaps that would make people like Robert Samuelson happy:
It's increasingly obvious that Congress and the president (regardless of which party is in power) will deal with the political stink bomb of an aging society only if forced. And the most plausible means of compulsion would be for Social Security and Medicare to go bankrupt: trust funds run dry; promised benefits exceed dedicated payroll taxes. The sooner this happens, the better.

That the programs will ultimately go bankrupt is clear from the trustees' reports. On pages 201 and 202 of the Medicare report, you will find the conclusive arithmetic: over the next 75 years, Social Security and Medicare will cost an estimated $103.2 trillion, while dedicated taxes and premiums will total only $57.4 trillion. The gap is $45.8 trillion. (All figures are expressed in "present value," a fancy term for "today's dollars.")

The Medicare actuaries then dryly note what would happen once the trust funds for Social Security and Medicare's hospital insurance program are depleted: "No provision exists under current law to address the projected [Medicare] and [Social Security] financial imbalances. Once assets are exhausted, expenditures cannot be made except to the extent covered by ongoing tax receipts." Translation: benefits would fall. Social Security checks would shrink; some Medicare bills wouldn't be paid in full—and the shortfalls would progressively worsen. Retirees would scream. Hospitals might shut. No president or Congress would abide the outcry; even the threat of imminent bankruptcy would rouse them to action. But restoring the programs' solvency would confront Congress and the White House with fundamental questions.

In 1940, life expectancy at birth in the U.S. was 61.4 years for men, 65.7 for women; by 2008, the comparable figures were 75.4 and 80. So, as health and longevity improve, when should people stop working and be entitled (from which comes the noun "entitlement") to receive government retirement subsidies? Stripped of popular euphemisms ("social insurance," "entitlements"), that's what Social Security and Medicare mainly are. If that's so, how much should wealthier retirees be subsidized?

Or: how much should obligations to the old displace other national needs—for, say, defense, education, research, housing, transportation or adequate family incomes? In 1990, Medicare and Social Security represented 28 percent of federal spending; in 2019, their share will be almost 40 percent, projects the Obama administration. As this spending grows, pressures to raise taxes, increase budget deficits or cut other programs intensify. What's the right balance between the past and the future?


Indeed. So why not just set a mandate that all baby boomers must be exterminated? The only question is at what age they should round us all up. 50? 55? 62, the earliest age at which one can collect Social Security? After all, aren't we hogging all the jobs? And aren't we going to hog all the money?

People like Robert Samuelson, and like Pete Peterson -- the main voice of the Kill Social Security Now movement and someone who is never for one minute going to have to worry about what he's going to live on when he's old, present the Social Security dilemma as if it's always been there and absolutely nothing has been done to anticipate the elephant being digested by a snake that is the baby boom generation. In fact, the Social Security reforms of 1983 were designed to front-load the system to insure its solvency as this huge influx of aging people entered the system in the new millennium. The problem is that governments both Republican and Democratic couldn't leave this nice fat chunk o'money alone, and raided the fund for various purposes, primarily tax cuts for the wealthy and wars. What's sitting in there now is a bunch of IOUs, which as we now see, aren't worth the paper on which they're printed.

In the early 1980's, Ronald Reagan, the smiling benign patriarch of the Republican Party, told Americans that you could cut taxes, increase spending, and balance the budget. This started us on the road towards the "You can have whatever you want and it's all free through the magic hand of the markets" mentality that has dominated American economic discourse for nearly three decades. It's the mentality that fueled the dot-com bubble, the housing bubble, and the orgy of credit card spending that has had obsessed Americans relentlessly pursuing bigger, better, higher, taller, more luxurious consumer goods, and it's what has brought us to where we are now.

But the reality is that we are ALL affected by the collapse of the American economy. And frankly, the only people who have a leg to stand on in bashing prior generations are those currently in their teens and early twenties, because they had no opportunity to try and mitigate the profligacy of the largely Republican rule of the last thirty years. For Gen-X to bash the boomers makes no sense, because they too worked on Wall Street in the 1980's and wore expensive suits and worked for Drexel Burnham Lambert in the late 1980's.

But unless we're prepared to either see upwards of twenty million people (allowing for early deaths) living on the streets, or round us all up for mass extermination, we'd better face up to the fact that most of us working today, and indeed most baby boomers, have paid into that system at the higher post-1983 level. And that a clearheaded assessment of just what the future prospects of said system are, without the agendas of those who represent the interests of the wealthiest americans, is going to require a multigenerational effort.

Or you can just elect the guy who wants mass extermination. You know there'll be one.

(h/t)

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Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Next up: a clamor for a return to defined benefit pensions?
Posted by Jill | 5:39 AM
Not that it will do any good; the few companies that DO still have defined benefit pension plans, such as airlines and the automobile industry, are starting to cut them as part of the cost cutbacks being borne by workers. The rest of us, if we're lucky, are given the "opportunity" to contribute to a 401(k) plan.

When 401(k)s were first introduced, the sales pitch was exactly the same as it was years later when Republicans pushed to have Social Security funds invested in the stock market -- that the returns would be better than with conventional pensions, that you would "control your own money." And in most cases, there were matching funds from the employer, which meant a return on your money right from the minute both contributions were made. Of course, as more companies did away with pensions so that the ONLY retirement vehicle you had was the 401(k), and more recently, as companies have started to cut or eliminate the company contribution part of their plans, and we've seen just how rigged the markets are against the ordinary investor, enthusiasm for these plans on the part of workers is waning:
U.S. workers are increasingly cautious about investing in corporate retirement funds, having shifted money out of stocks, reduced how much they contribute and, in some cases, stopped contributions altogether or withdrawn money, according to a study released Monday.

The study by Hewitt Associates, which administers 401(k) plans for corporations, found the average U.S. 401(k) plan balance was down 14 percent through October to $68,000 from $79,000 in 2007.


That's all? My balance from my last job is down 14 percent just since I was laid off at the end of August. Let's not even TALK about the IRA I set up thirteen years ago to consolidate money from other jobs' retirement plans. It's just too depressing.

When I signed up for the plan at my new job, I decided to put 80% of my contributions in cash, which generates 3%, but at least it's guaranteed, as I watch my more stock-intensive accounts ebb away.

In 2006, the PBS series Frontline ran an episode examining the United Airlines bankruptcy effect on that company's pension fund as a backdrop to the entire retirement savings mess. The program interviewed Jack VanDerhei, Senior Research Fellow at theEmployee Benefit Research Institute, who said:
If you have nothing but Social Security and your 401(k) accounts, if you want to retire at 65 [with 80 percent of your pre-retirement income] and you're male, [you have to have] about 6.3 [times your pre-retirement annual income]; if you're a female, about 6.7. The reason, of course, is you have a longer life expectancy if you're female than male. If you want to retire early -- say, at age 60 -- those numbers are going to increase up to about 6.9 [times pay] if you're male, and about 7.2 [times pay] if you're female.


The bottom line is that AT MINIMUM, you need to put away a combined 15-18% of your annual salary if you're going to be able to retire, including both employee and employer contributions. If your employer does not match, you are on the hook for the entire amount. If you only contribute for 20 years because you, as I did, have a career that didn't really get going until your thirties, you need to earn an annualized rate of return of 8% per year on your contributions. That's not likely to happen now for a long, long time, given current market conditions. So is it any wonder that many of us are going for the smaller, but sure thing, instead of pouring our money into an empty hole?

Retirement? What's retirement? We're all, starting with the middle-stage baby boomers like me, going to have to get this notion out of our heads that we can check out of the workforce at age 66 years and two months and go off to make pottery and garden and volunteer to read to schoolchildren, or whatever picture we have of not having to get up in the morning every day, drive in insane traffic, and spend 8-10 hours in an office, followed by an equally insane drive home, dinner, Olbermann, and exhausted sleep. All this assumes, of course, that we're even going to be ALLOWED to stay in the workforce, as more companies cut staff and send jobs overseas.

It's easy to sell a bill of goods like the 401(k) when markets are booming. But they never tell you how the dice are loaded in favor of the investment companies.

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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

It's 10 AM. Do you know where your retirement money is?
Posted by Jill | 10:06 AM
Some American Home Mortgage employees don't:

Bankrupt Melville-based American Home Mortgage is attempting to seize as much as $27 million that employees had set aside from their paychecks as retirement savings, and if it is successful, the workers may never see the money again.

In a flurry of objections filed in federal bankruptcy court here, employees around the country who contributed to AHM's deferred-compensation plan said its move to release the cash from a trust would put it in the hands of large creditors like banks and jeopardize their financial futures.

And the attorney for a group of former employees alleged AHM or its trustee for the retirement plan "may have acted inappropriately with regard to withholding distributions or encouraging contributions."

[snip]

The deferred-compensation plan enabled employees making more than about $200,000 per year to save money tax-free until they retired.

AHM has more than 1,000 creditors, some of which already have priority claims on the firm's assets and many of which are not expected to recoup any money.

Jeffrey Lewis, an employment benefits expert and partner with the Oakland, Calif., law firm Lewis, Feinberg, Lee, Renaker & Jackson, said it is not unusual for plans available only to select employees to end up in the hands of general creditors when companies go bankrupt.

"It's an unfortunate fact," he said. "They just don't meet the requirements for a regular, qualifying pension plan, and therefore the money is subject to the recapture of creditors."

Lewis said this would not be the first time American Home Mortgage has misled employees about retirement benefits. In 2003, he represented a group of loan officers hired when AHM acquired the retail branches of Principal Residential Mortgage Inc. He said AHM wooed employees by making promises about how it would contribute to and administer the new employees' 401(k) plans. The lender ultimately settled for about $2 million.


I don't know how many companies have this kind of self-administered 401(k) plan, and it could be argued that it's hard to feel sorry for people making over $200,000 a year selling bogus mortgages to people who can't afford them. But it seems to me that if an employee -- any employee -- can have his or her deferred compensation confiscated by company executives to pay off creditors as the result of bad management, it sets a very bad precedent.

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