"Only dull people are brilliant at breakfast"
-Oscar Wilde
Brilliant at Breakfast title banner "The liberal soul shall be made fat, and he that watereth, shall be watered also himself."
-- Proverbs 11:25
"...you have a choice: be a fighting liberal or sit quietly. I know what I am, what are you?" -- Steve Gilliard, 1964 - 2007

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"I came here to chew bubblegum and kick ass. And I'm all out of bubblegum." -- "Rowdy" Roddy Piper (1954-2015), They Live
Tuesday, August 16, 2011

A country that has its act together, and it isn't the US
Posted by Jill | 5:35 AM
Last weekend Mr. Brilliant and I sat in a restaurant and mulled over the prospect of "What if we have to leave the US?" Neither of us are going anywhere while we're still working, as there isn't any more demand for age 50+ professionals elsewhere than there is here. But if you watch a couple of episodes of House Hunters International on HGTV, you discover that it isn't only people with a million dollars to spend on a vacation home that appear on this show; that some places afford a nice little dwelling on about what we expect to take out of this house even if we just break even.

We ruled out Asian countries that aren't islands whose names end in "i". Then we ruled out tropical islands because they're likely to be increasingly under water in the coming years. We ruled out the Middle East for obvious reasons. We ruled out anyplace too cold because if Mr. Brilliant could take the cold, we could just as easily spend our declining years in Vermont. That ruled out Scandinavia. We ruled out Russia and any of the northernmost former Soviet republics. We ruled out Central America because it's too hot, and South America. The "PIGS" countries -- Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain -- are all as much of a mess as we are. The south of France is tempting, but it's expensive and France isn't in great shape either. That left us with Slovenia and Germany.

Slovenia is an intriguing thought. Mr. Brilliant (who is half Italian, so it falls under the "It's OK To Knock Your Own Team" rule) thinks Slovenia has all the advantages of Italy only it's not full of Italians. I have an online friend in Slovenia, so if we were to decide to scope it out, we could get a nice tour of Ljubljana and environs. It's certainly something to think about, but it's difficult to imagine that it would ever go beyond that.

That left us with Germany.

I spent two weeks in Germany in the summer of 2009 for work, and I've been to Berlin, and while I realize that actually living in a place is far different from spending two weeks at the Hilton, I really, really liked what I saw of Germany. Here was a country that wasn't trying to whitewash the less-than-savory aspects of its history. There is a Holocaust memorial right outside the Reichstag building in Berlin, just in case anyone ever forgets. While the Germans with whom I've had conversations about it become impatient with the "sins of the fathers" taint they live with and wonder when the statute of limitations is up and they can stop being blamed for things done two to three generations ago, they know that what happened in their country in the 1930's must never be allowed to happen again (unlike in the US, where it's perfectly OK for right-wingers to say on national television that black people were better off under slavery). But once you get past World War II and the Cold War, life in Germany has many advantages for my colleagues who live and work there.

The cities are rich with social and cultural activities. They're highly livable cities that don't require a fortune to live in them. It's expensive to drive a car, but many people can walk or bike to where they're going, and if you can't, there is reliable public transportation. The 8:37 AM S6 train out of the main train station in Cologne shows up at precisely 8:37 every single day. On Track 10. Every single day. The cities are immaculate, the trains run on time, and if you don't like knuckles and schnitzel, well, the best Thai restaurant I've ever been to is in the former East Berlin, I've had great Indian food in Cologne, and a large Turkish population means you can get a plate of sensational adana kebab with rice and salad for about eight euros. This is a place where you can be on a street corner where the "Don't Walk" sign is up, and even if no cars are coming from either directions, YOU WAIT TILL THE LIGHT CHANGES.

It could be that over time, the anarchic way we tend to live here could find this highly ordered universe to be stifling. But sometimes I wonder, if when I'm old, such order could be comforting rather than stifling. I'm especially aware of it while in teleconferences. Here in the New York area, we become highly animated when we talk. It sometimes makes us seem abrasive to our German colleagues when our voices raise while on teleconferences, not because we're angry but it's just what we do. I work closely with an Italian-American woman who grew up in Clifton, New Jersey. We often say that we're sisters of different mothers because in many ways we're a lot alike in how we work and how we communicate. We have a colleague here from Germany, and I invited her into this woman's office while we were discussing something, because I wanted ther to see that the way we talk on these teleconferences isn't unusual or directed at them -- we talk like this with each other even when we agree.

But these days, Germay seems to be the only country in Europe, perhaps in the world, that has its act together (NYT link):
Germany may be the only European nation that is large enough and rich enough to cover the debts of its struggling neighbors, but its citizens are reluctant to be the source of the bailout. Germany is in many ways in the eye of the storm, with barely a hint of the winds swirling nearby. There is no tear gas, as in Athens; no tires burning, as in London; no chanting crowds packing public squares, as in Spain. While much of the rest of Europe is struggling to pass harsh austerity packages, Germany is in the midst of a debate over cutting taxes by as much as $14.2 billion.

“It’s as if there’s this black cloud floating overhead but nothing has fallen on us,” said Markus Ponick, 38, a teacher in Berlin, who on Monday was strolling down a tree-lined stretch of Bleibtreustrasse with a cup of coffee in his hand. The government had made cuts, Mr. Ponick said, but they had been “cleverly chosen” to spare the public pain. “The effects of this crisis are imperceptible here,” he said.

The only major protests to strike Germany have been over tearing down an old train station in Stuttgart or calling for the end of nuclear power. Animal rights and affordable Internet, rather than jobs and spending cuts, are more likely to cause people to take to the streets right now, and even then not in terribly great numbers.

The simplest explanation is jobs.

By one government measure, 706,000 more Germans were employed in May of this year than the year before, of which 415,000 were full-time positions and 289,000 part time. In terms of relative size, that would be roughly comparable in the United States to nearly 2.7 million more people with jobs in 2011 versus 2010.

With strong unions and legal protections for workers, Germany’s labor market for years was compared unfavorably with the more flexible American one. Even after embarking on painful reforms, it suffered from high structural unemployment. In July, German unemployment was 7 percent, compared with 9.1 percent in the United States.

As Germany’s population shrinks, some economists and policy makers are more concerned about a shortage of qualified workers than joblessness.

As for the young, the unemployment rate is the third lowest in Europe, behind only the Netherlands and Austria. Only 9.1 percent of people between the ages of 15 and 24 are unemployed here, less than half the 20.5 percent average in Europe.

“I wouldn’t protest because I’m very content with my situation,” said Kristina Kuhn, 21, a student out shopping on the upscale Kurfürstendamm boulevard on Monday afternoon. “Young people can study, find jobs on the side and have opportunities for careers.”

A recent report in the daily newspaper Bild said that government experts expect the job boom to continue for another four years. In a survey of 1,800 Germans prepared for the business magazine WirtschaftsWoche by the Allensbach Institute for Public Opinion Research, a majority spoke of an era of increased insecurity, but a full 53 percent said they were optimistic about the next 12 months. Only 12 percent were pessimistic.

“They hear it on the news but for most Germans what they experience in their lives is completely different. The crisis is virtual,” said Renate Köcher, the institute’s director. “What’s decisive for most people is their own situation and for many people that has improved noticeably in the past three or four years.”

There's no doubt that Germany is helped immeasurably by not having the kind of massive military that the U.S. has, but given that no other country in Europe does either, that doesn't explain all about how Germany has emerged from the financial crisis not only relatively unscathed, but with low unemployment in a country that has strong worker protections and a good quality of life for its workers. The major concern for a country that seems to have done everything right is just how much it's going to have to pony up to bail out the countries that haven't.

(Joe Nocera also mentions Germany as what to do RIGHT during an economic slowdown.)

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Sunday, June 07, 2009

Ex-SEC Chairman to Advise Goldman Sachs; Whats Wrong With This Picture?
Posted by Anonymous | 10:14 AM

In another slide from what Matt Taibbi calls "protocapitalist buddhism: the endless life-cycle," Goldman Sachs announced this week that ex-SEC chairman, Arthur Levitt was being hired as advisor on public policy issues, whatever that is; according to a press release by Goldman Sachs, it has something to do with “strategic advice to the firm on a range of matters.” OK. He is also a senior adviser to the Carlyle Group; enough said.

If there is no conflict of interest in this cluster-fuck that we call the financial services industry, then I don't know what planet I'm on anymore. It' getting very hard to keep track of the reshuffling going on in the ashes of the crash, but this should be illegal. These guys just keep turning up like some sorta bad pennies.

I couldn't say it better than Matt, but, honestly, it is completely, utterly,unbelievable that Goldman Sachs is hiring the very guy who oversaw the Financial Services Modernization Act and the Commodity Futures Modernization Act. Since he is responsible for teaching me the gory details of this via his must-read, Rolling Stone article, which I had to go-over, like, 3 times before I found myself mindlessly spewing the information to my son in the car, I'll have to refer you over to him for the ramifications of our leadership and our society not looking hard at where these guys are landing...of course, it could be that this suits the leadership just fine. As the man said then, "we're officially, royally fucked," ....Still.

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Thursday, March 27, 2008

Would you take financial advice from this man?
Posted by Jill | 5:50 AM

Lenny Dykstra. The very name is onomatopoeic, describing as it does a short, tough, plug-ugly guy with a chew of tobacco in his mouth and a Napoleon complex as big as the swing of his bat.

Perhaps more than anyone else, Dykstra embodied the swaggering, cocksure chutzpah of the 1986 Mets. Strawberry and Gooden may have had the talent, but for those guys in 1985 and 1986, before the seductive allure of money and drugs had ruined them, playing baseball was no different from getting up in the morning. It's just what they did. It's what they were made to do. Dykstra was different. He wasn't built for the game, but through sheer dint of hard work (until he apparently succumbed to the siren song of steroids), he was one of the most exciting players in the game. To this day, every time I hear the song Centerfield, I think of Lenny Dykstra.

It's understandable that I would have been a Dykstra fan. I know all too well what it's like to a short person trying to make it in a tall world and having to talk louder and try harder. But for all that he made the game entertaining, the steroids and the fights he got into later in his career were an ominous sign that once his career was over, Dykstra might succumb to the downward spiral that affects so many professional athletes once their careers are over.

But those of us who thought Dykstra was just a dumb jock of limited innate ability and even less intelligence who put all his energies into playing over his head were dead wrong.

He may sound like a burnout when he talks, but today Nails is a successful businessman, respected investment prognosticator with an investment newsletter people pay a thousand bucks a year to read, subject of a recent profile on Real Sports on HBO, soon to be publisher of an investment magazine for professional athletes that he hopes will represent the perfect confluence of capitalism and doing a service for his brothers in professional sports who may not have his financial savvy, and the subject of this charming profile in, of all places, The New Yorker magazine:

Mets fans of a certain age will recall a popular poster from 1986, bearing the word “Nails” in bold letters across the top, and featuring a shirtless Dykstra, wearing eye black and holding a bat against his shoulder. The nickname referred to his tenacity and also to his peculiar Southern California lexicon. (“MTV is nails,” he explained in his autobiography, also called “Nails,” which was published in 1987, when he was twenty-four. “Winning is nails.”) He was wiry then; he used to complain that Lenny might as well have been his middle name, given how often it was preceded by the word “little”: Little Lenny Dykstra. He is lumpy now. Referring to his suit, which was pin-striped, he said, “It gets a little tighter, you know?” His hands tremble, his back hurts, and his speech, like that of an insomniac or a stroke victim, lags slightly behind his mind. He winks without obvious intent. In his playing days, he had a term for people like this: fossils. Nothing about his physical presence any longer suggests nails, and sometimes, as if in joking recognition of this softening, he answers the phone by saying, “Thumbtacks.”

[snip]

For many ballplayers, the growing-up point does not arrive until after retirement, when all the freebies vanish and equipment managers and hotel maids can no longer be relied upon for regular laundry service. Dykstra last played in the majors in 1996, at age thirty-three. Improbably, he has since become a successful day trader, and he let me know that he owns both a Maybach (“the best car”) and a Gulfstream (“the best jet”). The occasion for our lunch, however, was a new venture: Dykstra is launching a magazine, intended specifically for pro athletes, called The Players Club. An unfortunate number of his former teammates have ended up broke, or divorced, or worse. The week before we met, the ex-Yankee Jim Leyritz, himself twice divorced and underemployed, had hit a woman while driving home from a bar. He never grew up.

[snip]

Dykstra did not attend college, and, like many accomplished autodidacts, he is ever alert for signs of condescension, but he relishes his newfound opportunity to meet executives in a boardroom rather than on the charity golf circuit, and studies their habits carefully, to the point of noting their preferred e-mail font sizes. He is open about the fact that many businessmen—“​graybeards”—​have a hard time taking him seriously. “It’s like I got hit with an idiot stick—took ten lashes on the way in,” he said of a recent meeting. The steady pursuit and accumulation of class markers and status symbols is a handy defense against such anxieties, and during a rare break between calls he led me to a different computer, in the front seat, to show off a photograph that he was using as his wallpaper. “This is my bird, here—that’s a GII,” he said. “I wasn’t going to buy a plane till I bought a Gulfstream, ’cause Gulfstream’s the best in the world—and there’s not a close second, by the way. That’s something that was important to me. Like, all my hard work? Gulfstream makes me feel like it was worth something.”


So maybe he's still trying to prove his dick is as big as that of the big boys. But if that's what he's doing, at least he's doing it in a way that has not only made him wealthy, but might help some of today's athletes from meeting the same fate that befell some of his compatriots. And if the idea of little Nails, the kid with the chaw of tobacco in his cheek who always seemed more like your pain in the ass kid brother who wanted to play street baseball with the big kids than like any kind of profesisonal, turning into this macher in business isn't endearing enough, perhaps this is:

“Wives are key, dude. They are key. It’s a tough life. Your husband is gone and it’s always about him, and then—can you imagine?—he’s done, and all that happens, and you got no money?” (The fact that he and Terri have been married for twenty-three years, through stardom and retirement, seems to surprise even Dykstra. “Terri’s a special person, and I’m a very, very lucky guy,” he said. “It took me a long time to realize that. You know what I mean?”)



Look at the shattered lives of some of his 1986 Mets teammates -- Darryl Strawberry with a shaky hold on sobriety after battling drugs, booze, prison time for tax evasion, and colon cancer; Dwight Gooden, newly out of prison after repeated battles with substance abuse; Wally Backman, who was fired from a job he hadn't even started yet as manager of the Arizona Diamondbacks after the team found out about an old arrest for DUI and the fact that he was just about bankrupt. Given that Dykstra always had that short guy thing about having to out-macho the big boys, you'd think he would have fallen twice as far, twice as hard, just to show that he could. Dykstra is charmingly aware of his own intellectual limitations, admitting that he doesnt "read so good", but he managed to learn about high finance via books on tape and found out that this is something at which he excels, whether through some kind of innate ability or the same kind of sheer guts he used to show on the field.

The Mets' 2008 season starts next week, and for every question that the presence of Johan Santana may answer, there are innumerable new ones. Can José Reyes' ego be kept in check so that he thinks of the team as much as his own stats? Can Mike Pelfrey finally get his act together to be a credible fifth starter? Who the hell is going to play the outfield? And is this organization going to wake up and realize that either this team has to get younger or do something about its strength and conditioning program? But in an age of eight-figure-a-year incomes, this year's Mets could do worse than to look back at the gritty little guy with the big chaw of tobacco in his cheek, and realize that when push comes to shove, ever-vigilant moxie trumps lazy talent every time.

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