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Monday, January 14, 2008

Thank you, sir, may I have another?
Posted by Jill | 7:01 AM
And speaking of William Kristol....

Is there anything that better represents the folly of "reaching out" to conservatives than the New York Times deciding that Kristol would be a good conservative voice for the paper?

Believing that William Kristol will somehow turn into William Safire is sort of like Barack Obama believing that his sheer force of personality will turn intransigent Republicans into happy furry puppies panting at his feet to compromise on policies on which he's running.

Like today's Republican Party, Kristol isn't content to follow the "intelligent people of good will can disagree" notion that even as big an idiot as David Brooks at least seems to remember. Instead, Kristol is perfectly willing to take a paycheck from the New York Times for trashing its readership:

When President Bush announced the surge of troops in support of a new counterinsurgency strategy a year ago, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton and Democratic Congressional leaders predicted failure. Obama, for example, told Larry King that he didn’t believe additional U.S. troops would “make a significant dent in the sectarian violence that’s taking place there.” Then in April, the Senate majority leader, Harry Reid, asserted that “this war is lost, and this surge is not accomplishing anything.” In September, Clinton told Gen. David Petraeus that his claims of progress in Iraq required a “willing suspension of disbelief.”

The Democrats were wrong in their assessments of the surge. Attacks per week on American troops are now down about 60 percent from June. Civilian deaths are down approximately 75 percent from a year ago. December 2007 saw the second-lowest number of U.S. troops killed in action since March 2003. And according to Lt. Gen. Ray Odierno, commander of day-to-day military operations in Iraq, last month’s overall number of deaths, which includes Iraqi security forces and civilian casualties as well as U.S. and coalition losses, may well have been the lowest since the war began.

Do Obama and Clinton and Reid now acknowledge that they were wrong? Are they willing to say the surge worked?

No. It’s apparently impermissible for leading Democrats to acknowledge — let alone celebrate — progress in Iraq. When asked recently whether she stood behind her “willing suspension of disbelief” insult to General Petraeus, Clinton said, “That’s right.”

When Obama was asked in the most recent Democratic presidential debate, “Would you have seen this kind of greater security in Iraq if we had followed your recommendations to pull the troops out last year?” he didn’t directly address the question. But he volunteered that “much of that violence has been reduced because there was an agreement with tribes in Anbar Province, Sunni tribes, who started to see, after the Democrats were elected in 2006, you know what? — the Americans may be leaving soon. And we are going to be left very vulnerable to the Shias. We should start negotiating now.”

But Sunni tribes in Anbar announced in September 2006 that they would join to fight Al Qaeda. That was two months before the Democrats won control of Congress. The Sunni tribes turned not primarily because of fear of the Shiites, but because of their horror at Al Qaeda’s atrocities in Anbar. And the improvements in Anbar could never have been sustained without aggressive American military efforts — efforts that were more effective in 2007 than they had been in 2006, due in part to the addition of the surge forces.

Last year’s success, in Anbar and elsewhere, was made possible by confidence among Iraqis that U.S. troops would stay and help protect them, that the U.S. would not abandon them to their enemies. Because the U.S. sent more troops instead of withdrawing — because, in other words, President Bush won his battles in 2007 with the Democratic Congress — we have been able to turn around the situation in Iraq.


No, I'm not willing to say "the surge worked." The increased troop levels in the occupation of Iraq have caused a decrease in violence that is dependent upon those increased troop levels being there in perpetuity, at a cost of $15 billion a month. Can you say that "the surge worked" when it is not a surge but an indefinite, perpetual occupation that continues to bankrupt the country?

Apparently, when your name is William Kristol and you're collecting three or four paychecks for saying so, you can.

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2 Comments:
Blogger Michele Boselli said...
hi Brilliant, I like your blog and just given you a link, visit mine and see if you'd like to reciprocate.

It's mainly in Italian but you'll find 1 out of seven posts in English as well.

It's obviously a very important year in America and from Europe we look closely at what happens, that'why I'd like to link American liberal blogs.

HNY and keep up the good job, ciao!
1/14/08, 7:21 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...
Well, Shenseki said [before they fired him] that it wouold take 300,000 sets of feet on the ground to properly occupy and pacify Iraq.
The 160,000+ post-surge is a whole lot close than the 130,000 pre-surge number was.
If 100,000 or so are to remain 'forever', ....

I also remember a comment [maybe yours] from some months ago: Why is the surge only being done now, 4 years after the mess, and why will it work now and not earlier...
1/14/08, 2:12 PM  
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