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Monday, September 19, 2005

OK, Pat Robertson, why is God planning to smite Galveston?
Posted by Jill | 1:29 PM

For that matter, with all the abortion clinics gone, why might God smite New Orleans again?

Meteorologist Steve Gregory at Weather Underground:

Although not official, Tropical Storm Rita is absolutely of Hurricane intensity at this time. Satellite imagery indicates that strong convection has wrapped completely around the center -- and an inner eye wall has already formed. The next RECON will reach the storm this afternoon, but imagery over the past 2 hours indicates it is a VERY solid CAT 1 hurricane. The storm is located near 23N/76W and is moving WNW at 10Kts.

The models continue to show Rita passing through the Florida Straits, and the Florida Keys will likely take the brunt of the storm -- probably as a CAT 2 hurricane.

The GFS and indeed all the global models continue to show Rita reaching the north Texas coast Saturday -- and while over the Gulf of Mexico, should develop a strong upper level anticyclone that will only increase the probability that RITA
will reach Major Hurricane intensity by Wednesday as it moves into the central Gulf of Mexico.

[snip]

All the models are showing what the GFS has been indicating for 6 model runs in a row -- the ridge over the southern U.S. will have it's western edge erode sooner than originally thought, and this will allow the storm to turn NW Thursday.
At this time - the far upper coast coast - near Galveston - appears to have the highest landfall probability on Saturday. HOWEVER -- with recent model trends -- a turn sooner rather than later could lead to a landfall along the coast of Louisiana.


Oy oy oy oy oy.
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